Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 54.51%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 23.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
54.51% ( -0.01) | 22.42% ( 0.01) | 23.08% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.09% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.61% ( -0.02) | 41.39% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.21% ( -0.02) | 63.79% ( 0.01) |
Dundee Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.86% ( -0.01) | 15.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.28% ( -0.02) | 43.72% ( 0.01) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.46% ( -0.01) | 31.54% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.06% ( -0.01) | 67.94% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Dundee | Draw | St Mirren |
2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 6.18% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.53% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.1% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.88% Total : 54.51% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 6% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.18% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 2.18% 0-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.68% Total : 23.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 25 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 17 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |