Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 73.75%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 9.59%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.23%) and 3-0 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.92%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (3.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Aberdeen in this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
73.75% ( -0) | 16.66% ( 0) | 9.59% |
Both teams to score 45.66% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.35% ( 0) | 41.65% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.95% ( 0) | 64.05% ( -0) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.22% ( 0) | 9.78% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.48% ( 0) | 32.52% ( -0) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.61% ( 0) | 49.39% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.77% ( 0) | 84.23% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
2-0 @ 13.05% 1-0 @ 11.23% 3-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.14% 4-0 @ 5.88% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.15% 5-0 @ 2.73% 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 3.28% Total : 73.74% | 1-1 @ 7.92% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.83% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 16.66% | 0-1 @ 3.41% 1-2 @ 2.79% 0-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.18% Total : 9.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |