Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 17.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.69%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Motherwell win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Hibernian.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
59.25% ( 0.04) | 23.36% ( -0.02) | 17.39% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.18% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.2% ( 0.04) | 52.8% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% ( 0.03) | 74.42% ( -0.03) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.47% ( 0.03) | 17.53% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.94% ( 0.05) | 48.05% ( -0.05) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.99% ( 0) | 44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.87% | 80.13% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.69% 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 59.24% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0) Other @ 0.69% Total : 23.36% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.61% Total : 17.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |