Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ross County would win this match.
Result | ||
Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock |
37.58% ( 0.01) | 25.88% ( -0) | 36.53% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.64% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.35% ( 0.02) | 49.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.33% ( 0.01) | 71.66% ( -0.01) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.22% ( 0.02) | 25.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.27% ( 0.02) | 60.72% ( -0.02) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.62% ( 0) | 26.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.47% ( 0) | 61.52% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.33% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.47% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.19% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.04% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.64% 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.25% Total : 36.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 35 |
5 | Hibernian | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 33 |
6 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
7 | Hearts | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 30 |
8 | St Mirren | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 30 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 28 |
10 | Dundee | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
12 | St Johnstone | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 21 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |