Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 76.39%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 8.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.39%) and 1-0 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.12%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
76.39% ( 1.06) | 15.01% ( -0.38) | 8.6% ( -0.68) |
Both teams to score 47.43% ( -1.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.95% ( -0.53) | 37.06% ( 0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.75% ( -0.58) | 59.25% ( 0.58) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.96% ( 0.11) | 8.05% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.68% ( 0.27) | 28.33% ( -0.26) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
51.58% ( -1.85) | 48.42% ( 1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16.47% ( -1.38) | 83.54% ( 1.38) |
Score Analysis |
Rangers | Draw | Kilmarnock |
2-0 @ 12.37% ( 0.45) 3-0 @ 10.39% ( 0.42) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.3) 4-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.1) 6-0 @ 1.39% ( 0.08) 6-1 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.48% Total : 76.39% | 1-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 3.25% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.74% Total : 15.01% | 0-1 @ 2.83% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.16% Total : 8.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |