Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
42.67% ( 0.02) | 25.72% ( -0) | 31.61% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.07% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.09% ( 0.02) | 49.9% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.1% ( 0.01) | 71.9% ( -0.01) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( 0.02) | 23.25% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( 0.02) | 57.17% ( -0.02) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.45% ( 0) | 29.55% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.42% ( 0) | 65.57% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
St Mirren | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 10.02% 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.56% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 42.67% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.87% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |