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Scottish Premiership
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hearts logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Hearts

Anderson (18' pen.)
Murray (85')
Deas (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Penrice (16'), Rowles (45+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions
Last Game: Dundee Utd 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Hearts

All competitions
Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Copenhagen 2-0 Hearts
Thursday, December 12 at 5.45pm in Conference League

We said: Kilmarnock 1-2 Hearts

 Both sides have suffered at the beginning of this season, but with Hearts looking revitalised under Critchley in past matches, while the hosts are winless in their last six, we believe the visitors will win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 32.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHearts
41.43% (-0.073 -0.07) 25.79% (0.105 0.11) 32.77% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.28% (-0.354 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.18% (-0.454 -0.45)49.81% (0.45 0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.18% (-0.407 -0.41)71.81% (0.40299999999999 0.4)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-0.23699999999999 -0.24)23.82% (0.232 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42% (-0.34 -0.34)57.99% (0.335 0.34)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.26% (-0.247 -0.25)28.74% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.42% (-0.308 -0.31)64.57% (0.30399999999999 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 41.43%
    Hearts 32.77%
    Draw 25.78%
KilmarnockDrawHearts
1-0 @ 9.82% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.04% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.2% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 41.43%
1-1 @ 12.24% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.85% (0.125 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.78%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.32% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 2.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.77%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hearts

Kilmarnock
15.4%
Draw
23.1%
Hearts
61.5%
13
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hearts
1-2
Kilmarnock
Forrest (44')
Penrice (87')
Kennedy (58'), Vassell (63')
Vassell (52'), Kennedy (65'), Watkins (77')
> Preview
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Kilmarnock
0-0
Hearts
Mayo (36'), Wright (44'), Donnelly (61'), Findlay (89')
> Preview
Mar 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 31
Hearts
1-1
Kilmarnock
Vargas (10')
Kent (27'), Cochrane (65')
Watkins (67')
Armstrong (28'), Deas (63')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Kilmarnock
0-1
Hearts

Dennis (40'), Watson (68')
Dennis (18' og.)
Nieuwenhof (79')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
1-2
Hearts
Lyons (68')
Grant (40'), Lowry (90+2')
Grant (50'), Haring (60'), Nieuwenhof (88'), Sibbick (90+6')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314
> Scottish Premiership Full Table


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