MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 02:21:22| >> :60:2412:2412:
Motherwell logo
Scottish League Cup | Quarter-Finals
Oct 19, 2022 at 6.15pm UK
Fir Park
Celtic logo

Motherwell
0 - 4
Celtic


Spittal (55'), Cornelius (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Abada (44', 56'), Hatate (61'), Furuhashi (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Motherwell and Celtic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 1-2 Rangers
Sunday, October 16 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Celtic 6-1 Hibernian
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Motherwell 1-3 Celtic

Both sides will be aiming to secure a passage through to the last four of the competition in what will no doubt be an intriguing match for the neutral. Despite this, we say Celtic will run out as clear winners and dominate large spells in the match leading to a comfortable triumph on the night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 68.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Motherwell had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Motherwell win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.

Result
MotherwellDrawCeltic
13.54% (0.238 0.24) 18.16% (0.211 0.21) 68.3% (-0.44499999999999 -0.44)
Both teams to score 54.02% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.28% (-0.42899999999999 -0.43)37.72% (0.432 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.04% (-0.461 -0.46)59.96% (0.463 0.46)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.07% (0.069000000000003 0.07)39.93% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.41% (0.064 0.06)76.59% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.93% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)10.08% (0.2251 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.8% (-0.514 -0.51)33.2% (0.517 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Motherwell 13.54%
    Celtic 68.3%
    Draw 18.16%
MotherwellDrawCeltic
2-1 @ 3.89% (0.057 0.06)
1-0 @ 3.69% (0.083 0.08)
2-0 @ 1.7% (0.041 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.37% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.19% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 13.54%
1-1 @ 8.48% (0.109 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.02% (0.083 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.16%
0-2 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.101 0.1)
0-3 @ 8.11% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
1-3 @ 7.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-4 @ 4.65% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 4.27% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 3.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-5 @ 2.14% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.96% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 4.81%
Total : 68.3%

How you voted: Motherwell vs Celtic

Motherwell
11.4%
Draw
11.4%
Celtic
77.3%
44
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
May 14, 2022 12.15pm
Celtic
6-0
Motherwell
Furuhashi (21', 44'), Turnbull (40'), Jota (59'), Giakoumakis (68', 90+1')

Lamie (76')
Feb 6, 2022 1.30pm
Motherwell
0-4
Celtic

McGinley (40'), Mugabi (83'), Donnelly (86')
Abada (28'), Rogic (31', 45'), Maeda (71')
Giakoumakis (59')
Dec 12, 2021 3pm
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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