Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 59%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Hibernian had a probability of 19.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.94%) and 0-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Hibernian win it was 1-0 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Hibernian | Draw | Rangers |
19.15% ( -0.03) | 21.85% ( 0.04) | 59% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.04% ( -0.21) | 43.95% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.66% ( -0.21) | 66.34% ( 0.21) |
Hibernian Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.22% ( -0.16) | 36.78% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.44% ( -0.16) | 73.56% ( 0.16) |
Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% ( -0.07) | 14.55% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.4% ( -0.13) | 42.6% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Hibernian | Draw | Rangers |
1-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.68% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.58% Total : 19.15% | 1-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.84% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.94% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.39% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 6.39% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.08% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.76% Total : 59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |