Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Hearts in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Hearts.
Result | ||
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
29.67% ( -1.42) | 26.62% ( 0.01) | 43.71% ( 1.41) |
Both teams to score 50.37% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.73% ( -0.56) | 54.27% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.33% ( -0.47) | 75.67% ( 0.47) |
St Johnstone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.85% ( -1.32) | 33.15% ( 1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.25% ( -1.48) | 69.75% ( 1.48) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.34% ( 0.46) | 24.66% ( -0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.82% ( 0.64) | 59.18% ( -0.64) |
Score Analysis |
St Johnstone | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.49% Total : 29.67% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.38) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |