Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Mirren5 - 1Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Motherwell 2-2 St Mirren
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Goals
for
for
34
We said: St Mirren 2-1 Kilmarnock
Given that St Mirren have been worse at home than away this year, and that their opponents have struggled on the road for months, expect a close-fought contest this weekend. That being said, Killie have only avoided defeat away from their own ground on two occasions since October, and they are unlikely to make it three on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
43.11% ( 0) | 26.2% ( -0) | 30.68% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( 0) | 52.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( 0) | 73.93% ( -0.01) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.95% ( 0) | 24.05% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.68% ( 0) | 58.32% ( -0.01) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( -0) | 31.36% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.27% | 67.72% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
St Mirren 43.1%
Kilmarnock 30.68%
Draw 26.2%
| St Mirren | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.74% 2-1 @ 8.88% 2-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 3.64% 3-2 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.1% | 1-1 @ 12.46% 0-0 @ 7.54% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.2% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.07% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 30.68% |
How you voted: St Mirren vs Kilmarnock
St Mirren
50.0%Draw
28.6%Kilmarnock
21.4%14
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2025 3pm
May 11, 2024 3pm
Form Guide
