Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 32.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 0-1 (9.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
40.79% | 26.98% | 32.23% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 50.31% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.17% ( 0) | 54.83% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.87% ( 0) | 76.13% |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( 0) | 26.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% | 61.59% ( 0) |
St Mirren Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.38% ( 0) | 31.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.98% ( 0) | 68.02% |
Score Analysis |
Motherwell | Draw | St Mirren |
1-0 @ 11.11% 2-1 @ 8.52% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 3.78% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.16% Total : 40.78% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.35% 2-2 @ 4.91% Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.98% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 7.37% 0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.13% 2-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.86% Total : 32.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 28 | 31 |
2 | Aberdeen | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 31 |
3 | RangersRangers | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 22 |
4 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 19 |
5 | Motherwell | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
6 | St Mirren | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Dundee | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 12 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 12 |
9 | Ross County | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 12 |
10 | St Johnstone | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 10 |
11 | Hearts | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 9 |
12 | Hibernian | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 8 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |