Segunda Division | Gameweek 41
May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Alaves2 - 1Malaga
FT(HT: 0-0)
Munoz (77')
Escassi (10'), Delmas (39'), Munoz (69')
Escassi (10'), Delmas (39'), Munoz (69')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alaves and Malaga.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Albacete 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division
Last Game: Malaga 2-0 Mirandes
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 20.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.62%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Malaga |
49.74% ( -0.02) | 29.27% ( -0.01) | 20.99% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 36.93% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
