Segunda Division | Gameweek 41

May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
2 - 1
Malaga

Villalibre (46'), Moya (87')
Tenaglia (45+1'), Moya (73'), Blanco (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Munoz (77')
Escassi (10'), Delmas (39'), Munoz (69')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Alaves and Malaga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Albacete 1-1 Alaves
Sunday, May 14 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Malaga

All competitions

Last Game: Malaga 2-0 Mirandes
Saturday, May 13 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 49.74%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.62%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Malaga
49.74% ( -0.02)	29.27% ( -0.01)	20.99% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 36.93% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.15% (

0.05)

67.85% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.17% (

0.03)

85.83% (

-0.03)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05% (

0.02)

27.94% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.43% (

0.02)

63.57% (

-0.02)

Malaga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.25% (

0.06)

48.75% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.22% (

0.05)

83.78% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Alaves 49.73%

Malaga 20.99%

Draw 29.26%

Alaves	Draw	Malaga
1-0 @ 17.36% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.5% 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 49.73%	0-0 @ 13.62% ( -0.02) 1-1 @ 12.47% 2-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 29.26%	0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 20.99%