Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.57%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.