Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 72.56%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cartagena had a probability of 8.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.61%) and 3-0 (10.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.71%), while for a Cartagena win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elche would win this match.