Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fuenlabrada win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Mirandes had a probability of 33% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fuenlabrada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.59%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Mirandes win was 1-0 (11.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.