Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Napoli3 - 1Inter Milan
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Napoli 1-2 Inter Milan
Despite their heavy workload, Inter's winning run can continue at Stadio Maradona, as they seem to be at the peak of their powers - no matter which XI Simone Inzaghi sends out clad in Nerazzurri. They have actually scored the most goals from open play in Serie A this season - Napoli have incidentally recorded the most from set-pieces - and the visitors' greater goal threat on current form should swing the result in their favour. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
34.24% ( -0.29) | 25.76% ( 0.28) | 39.99% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.64% ( -1.3) | 49.36% ( 1.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.59% ( -1.19) | 71.4% ( 1.19) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.4% ( -0.8) | 27.59% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.88% ( -1.04) | 63.12% ( 1.04) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( -0.58) | 24.35% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.24% ( -0.83) | 58.75% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
Napoli 34.24%
Inter Milan 39.99%
Draw 25.76%
| Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.91% Total : 34.24% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.99% |
How you voted: Napoli vs Inter Milan
Napoli
24.3%Draw
19.6%Inter Milan
56.1%107
Head to Head
Jan 4, 2023 7.45pm
Feb 12, 2022 5pm
Nov 21, 2021 5pm
gameweek 13
Inter Milan
3-2
Napoli
Calhanoglu (25' pen.), Perisic (44'), Martinez (61')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')
Inzaghi (24'), Calhanoglu (41'), Vidal (72'), Handanovic (84'), Dzeko (90+1')
Apr 18, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 31
Napoli
1-1
Inter Milan
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 12
Inter Milan
1-0
Napoli
Lukaku (73' pen.)
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')
Form Guide
