Serie A | Gameweek 36
May 21, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Napoli3 - 1Inter Milan
FT(HT: 0-0)
We said: Napoli 1-2 Inter Milan
Despite their heavy workload, Inter's winning run can continue at Stadio Maradona, as they seem to be at the peak of their powers - no matter which XI Simone Inzaghi sends out clad in Nerazzurri. They have actually scored the most goals from open play in Serie A this season - Napoli have incidentally recorded the most from set-pieces - and the visitors' greater goal threat on current form should swing the result in their favour. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Inter Milan |
34.24% ( -0.29) | 25.76% ( 0.28) | 39.99% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.77% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
