Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
64.94% | 19.34% | 15.73% |
Both teams to score 55.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.56% | 38.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.27% | 60.74% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.87% | 11.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.44% | 35.56% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.57% | 37.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.79% | 74.21% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 7.22% 4-0 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-2 @ 1.95% 5-0 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 4.3% Total : 64.94% | 1-1 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.34% | 1-2 @ 4.42% 0-1 @ 4.09% 0-2 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.59% 1-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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