Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 15.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.99%), while for a Bologna win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
64.94% | 19.34% | 15.73% |
Both teams to score 55.61% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.56% | 38.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.27% | 60.74% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.87% | 11.13% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.44% | 35.56% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.57% | 37.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.79% | 74.21% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Bologna |
2-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 7.22% 4-0 @ 4.03% 4-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.55% 4-2 @ 1.95% 5-0 @ 1.77% 5-1 @ 1.74% Other @ 4.3% Total : 64.94% | 1-1 @ 8.99% 2-2 @ 4.85% 0-0 @ 4.17% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.34% | 1-2 @ 4.42% 0-1 @ 4.09% 0-2 @ 2.01% 2-3 @ 1.59% 1-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.17% Total : 15.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 42 | 19 | 23 | 40 |
2 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 17 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 31 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 17 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 10 |
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