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Real Madrid logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 16, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Celta Vigo logo

Real Madrid
vs.
Celta Vigo

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Copa del Rey clash with Celta Vigo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-5 Barcelona
Sunday, January 12 at 7pm in Supercopa de Espana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 60.89%. A win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 19.81% and a draw has a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.52%) and 3-1 (7.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win is 1-2 (5.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.21%).

Result
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
60.89% (-4.45 -4.45) 19.31% (0.306 0.31) 19.81% (4.148 4.15)
Both teams to score 64.48% (7.812 7.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.14% (6.129 6.13)30.86% (-6.124 -6.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.78% (6.953 6.95)52.22% (-6.947 -6.95)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.06% (0.669 0.67)9.94% (-0.6641 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.1% (1.515 1.52)32.9% (-1.511 -1.51)
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.6% (8.208 8.21)28.4% (-8.202 -8.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.86% (9.248 9.25)64.15% (-9.242 -9.24)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 60.89%
    Celta Vigo 19.81%
    Draw 19.31%
Real MadridDrawCelta Vigo
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.352 -0.35)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-2.249 -2.25)
3-1 @ 7.29% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-0 @ 6.52% (-2.193 -2.19)
3-0 @ 5.79% (-1.519 -1.52)
3-2 @ 4.59% (0.895 0.9)
4-1 @ 4.2% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.759 -0.76)
4-2 @ 2.65% (0.577 0.58)
5-1 @ 1.94% (0.093 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.297 -0.3)
5-2 @ 1.22% (0.293 0.29)
4-3 @ 1.11% (0.417 0.42)
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 60.89%
1-1 @ 8.21% (-0.551 -0.55)
2-2 @ 5.96% (1.025 1.03)
0-0 @ 2.82% (-1.059 -1.06)
3-3 @ 1.93% (0.688 0.69)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 19.31%
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.765 0.77)
0-1 @ 3.56% (-0.348 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.5% (0.847 0.85)
0-2 @ 2.24% (0.277 0.28)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.693 0.69)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.282 0.28)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 19.81%

Who will win Thursday's Copa del Rey clash between Real Madrid and Celta Vigo?

Real Madrid
Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
66.7%
Celta Vigo
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 10
Celta Vigo
1-2
Real Madrid
Swedberg (51')
Sotelo (82'), Alonso (90')
Mbappe (20'), Junior (66')
Ancelotti (19'), Vazquez (75')
Mar 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Real Madrid
4-0
Celta Vigo
Junior (21'), Guaita (79' og.), Dominguez (88' og.), Guler (90+4')
Camavinga (45+1'), Junior (55')

de la Torre (25'), Mingueza (55'), Manquillo (82')
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 3
Celta Vigo
0-1
Real Madrid

Aspas (67'), Tapia (90+4')
Bellingham (81')
Kroos (71'), Nacho (90+6'), Rudiger (90+3')
Apr 22, 2023 8pm
Aug 20, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 2
Celta Vigo
1-4
Real Madrid
Aspas (23' pen.)
Tapia (13'), Mallo (85')
Benzema (14' pen.), Modric (41'), Junior (56'), Valverde (66')
Carvajal (65'), Alaba (68')
rhs 2.0
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