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Serie A
Napoli logo
Serie A | Gameweek 34
May 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio San Paolo, Napoli
Fiorentina logo

Napoli
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Osimhen (74' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Napoli
Thursday, May 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Fiorentina

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Salernitana 3-3 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 3 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Napoli 1-1 Fiorentina

 For all the joyous release of the last few days, Napoli have been off the boil for a while now, while Fiorentina may have their minds on other matters. With all the action occurring in the Stadio Maradona stands, it could be a more meandering affair on the field of play; ending in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Napoli in this match.

Result
NapoliDrawFiorentina
46.64% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 24.92% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 28.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-0.251 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.03% (-0.316 -0.32)47.97% (0.317 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.85% (-0.294 -0.29)70.14% (0.295 0.3)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.39% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)20.61% (0.145 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (-0.229 -0.23)53.16% (0.229 0.23)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.21% (-0.18899999999999 -0.19)30.79% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.94% (-0.223 -0.22)67.06% (0.224 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 46.64%
    Fiorentina 28.43%
    Draw 24.92%
NapoliDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 10.02% (0.084 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.64%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.35% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.4% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 28.43%

How you voted: Napoli vs Fiorentina

Napoli
60.8%
Draw
22.8%
Fiorentina
16.5%
79
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 3
Fiorentina
0-0
Napoli

Martinez (60'), Jovic (68')

Zambo Anguissa (3'), Spalletti (19'), Raspadori (90'), Ndombele (90+3')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
gameweek 32
Napoli
2-3
Fiorentina
Mertens (58'), Osimhen (84')
Gonzalez (29'), Ikone (66'), Cabral (72')
Milenkovic (11'), Cabral (73'), Ikone (88')
Jan 13, 2022 5pm
Final
Napoli
2-5
Fiorentina
Mertens (44'), Petagna (90+5')
Rrahmani (56'), Fabian (77'), Tuanzebe (85')
Lozano (84'), Fabian (90+3')
Vlahovic (41'), Biraghi (57'), Venuti (105+1'), Piatek (108'), Maleh (119')
Duncan (23'), Castrovilli (59')
Dragowski (45+2')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
gameweek 7
Fiorentina
1-2
Napoli
Martinez (28')
Bonaventura (31'), Martinez (36'), Italiano (41'), Pulgar (52')
Lozano (39'), Rrahmani (50')
Zambo Anguissa (54'), Rui (67'), Demme (90+1')
May 16, 2021 11.30am
gameweek 37
Fiorentina
0-2
Napoli

Milenkovic (31'), Ribery (43'), Caceres (49'), Castrovilli (61'), Pezzella (80')
Dragowski (56')
Insigne (56'), Venuti (67' og.)
Rrahmani (22'), Contini (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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