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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Milan logo

Udinese
3 - 1
AC Milan

Pereyra (9'), Beto (45+6'), Ehizibue (70')
Perez (27'), Walace (68'), Becao (90+3'), Ebosele (90')
Sottil (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ibrahimovic (45+4' pen.)
Kalulu (61'), Tonali (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Udinese
Saturday, March 11 at 2pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Salernitana
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-2 AC Milan

 While Milan have been below their best for some time now, they can get back to winning ways on Saturday evening, when their hosts will seek just a fourth home success of the season. This contest could go all the way to the wire, though, as only Napoli have scored more goals than either side (both 11) during the last 15 minutes of play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawAC Milan
37.58% (0.123 0.12) 25.61% (0.032 0.03) 36.8% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (-0.154 -0.15)48.45% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (-0.142 -0.14)70.58% (0.142 0.14)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)59.97% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (-0.158 -0.16)25.66% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-0.215 -0.22)60.56% (0.216 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 37.58%
    AC Milan 36.8%
    Draw 25.6%
UdineseDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.58%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.8%

How you voted: Udinese vs AC Milan

Udinese
11.9%
Draw
20.8%
AC Milan
67.3%
101
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
AC Milan
4-2
Udinese
Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Udinese
1-1
AC Milan
Beto (17')
Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
Success (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (90+2')
Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Kessie (90+7' pen.)
Rebic (24'), Hernandez (32'), Romagnoli (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')
Becao (68')
Zeegelaar (54')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2020 11.30am
Udinese
1-2
AC Milan
De Paul (48' pen.)
Becao (24'), Arslan (39')
Kessie (18'), Ibrahimovic (83')
Hernandez (13'), Donnarumma (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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