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Serie A
Udinese logo
Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Dacia Arena
Milan logo

Udinese
3 - 1
AC Milan

Pereyra (9'), Beto (45+6'), Ehizibue (70')
Perez (27'), Walace (68'), Becao (90+3'), Ebosele (90')
Sottil (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ibrahimovic (45+4' pen.)
Kalulu (61'), Tonali (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Udinese and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions
Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Udinese
Saturday, March 11 at 2pm in Serie A

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-1 Salernitana
Monday, March 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Udinese 1-2 AC Milan

 While Milan have been below their best for some time now, they can get back to winning ways on Saturday evening, when their hosts will seek just a fourth home success of the season. This contest could go all the way to the wire, though, as only Napoli have scored more goals than either side (both 11) during the last 15 minutes of play. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.

Result
UdineseDrawAC Milan
37.58% (0.123 0.12) 25.61% (0.032 0.03) 36.8% (-0.153 -0.15)
Both teams to score 55.59% (-0.122 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.55% (-0.154 -0.15)48.45% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.42% (-0.142 -0.14)70.58% (0.142 0.14)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)59.97% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (-0.158 -0.16)25.66% (0.16 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-0.215 -0.22)60.56% (0.216 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Udinese 37.58%
    AC Milan 36.8%
    Draw 25.6%
UdineseDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.92% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.35% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.14% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.82% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 37.58%
1-1 @ 12.12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.47% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.8% (0.016 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.25% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.99% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.27% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.8%

How you voted: Udinese vs AC Milan

Udinese
11.9%
Draw
20.8%
AC Milan
67.3%
101
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
AC Milan
4-2
Udinese
Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Udinese
1-1
AC Milan
Beto (17')
Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
Success (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (90+2')
Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Kessie (90+7' pen.)
Rebic (24'), Hernandez (32'), Romagnoli (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')
Becao (68')
Zeegelaar (54')
> Preview
Nov 1, 2020 11.30am
Udinese
1-2
AC Milan
De Paul (48' pen.)
Becao (24'), Arslan (39')
Kessie (18'), Ibrahimovic (83')
Hernandez (13'), Donnarumma (49')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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