Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2025 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari3 - 0Monza
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Roma 1-0 Cagliari
Sunday, March 16 at 3pm in Serie A
Sunday, March 16 at 3pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Parma
Saturday, March 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 15 at 2pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
24
We said: Cagliari 2-1 Monza
While neither side has found much rhythm up front, their defensive deficiencies could lead to several goals. Monza and Cagliari have conceded the most from corners in Serie A this season, and Sunday's hosts have shipped the most from set pieces. Yet, the Sardinians pose more attacking threat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 53.55%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Monza had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (7.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | Monza |
53.55% ( 4.5) | 25.04% ( -0.25) | 21.41% ( -4.25) |
| Both teams to score 47.66% ( -3.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.84% ( -2.8) | 54.16% ( 2.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.43% ( -2.39) | 75.57% ( 2.4) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( 0.75) | 20.21% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.48% ( 1.18) | 52.52% ( -1.18) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.73% ( -5.5) | 40.27% ( 5.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.1% ( -5.4) | 76.9% ( 5.4) |
| Score Analysis |
Cagliari 53.54%
Monza 21.41%
Draw 25.04%
| Cagliari | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 13.01% ( 1.63) 2-0 @ 10.4% ( 1.5)2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.91)3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.41)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.64% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.85)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.66)Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.97)0-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.7)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.61)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.41)Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.41% |
How you voted: Cagliari vs Monza
Cagliari
84.0%Draw
12.0%Monza
4.0%25
Head to Head
Jan 5, 2025 11.30am
Gameweek 19
Monza
1-2
Cagliari
Mar 16, 2024 2pm
Nov 26, 2023 11.30am
