Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 8, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan3 - 2Monza
Arnautovic (45+1'), Calhanoglu (64'), Kiriakopoulos (77' og.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Monza
This game will see Serie A's best attack take on its third-worst defence, while Monza can barely buy a goal and Inter (12) are only second to Juventus (14) in terms of clean sheets. Even with one eye on European commitments, the Nerazzurri should cruise to victory over their regional rivals and move four points clear of Napoli - for one day, at least. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 85.22%. A draw had a probability of 10.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 4.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.35%) and 1-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (1.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Monza |
85.22% ( 0.78) | 10.56% ( -0.5) | 4.22% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 37.95% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.78% ( 1.06) | 34.22% ( -1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.88% ( 1.19) | 56.11% ( -1.19) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.34% ( 0.35) | 5.66% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 78.1% ( 1.01) | 21.9% ( -1.01) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 40.23% ( -0.39) | 59.77% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 9.47% ( -0.2) | 90.53% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
Inter Milan 85.21%
Monza 4.22%
Draw 10.56%
| Inter Milan | Draw | Monza |
| 2-0 @ 13.94% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.28)4-1 @ 4.94% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.11)6-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)7-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.17% Total : 85.21% | 1-1 @ 5% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.33% Total : 10.56% | 0-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.2% Total : 4.22% |
How you voted: Inter Milan vs Monza
Inter Milan
87.2%Draw
10.6%Monza
2.1%47
Head to Head
Jan 13, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Monza
1-5
Inter Milan
Aug 19, 2023 7.45pm
Apr 15, 2023 7.45pm
Jan 7, 2023 7.45pm
