Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 13

Nov 26, 2023 at 11.30am UK

Sardegna Arena

Cagliari
1 - 1
Monza

Dossena (10')
Prati (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Maric (61')
Birindelli (48'), Pepin (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, November 11 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Torino
Saturday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza rarely score more than once, but that should be good enough for a point in Cagliari, as only three Serie A sides have conceded fewer goals than the Biancorossi this season. Meanwhile, the hosts can keep momentum building by extending their unbeaten streak in Sardinia, which may even edge them out of the drop zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Monza
45.43% ( -0.36)	25.56% ( 0.41)	29% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 53.26% (

-1.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.65% (

-1.73)

50.35% (

1.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.71% (

-1.55)

72.29% (

1.56)

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.86% (

-0.89)

22.14% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.48% (

-1.36)

55.52% (

1.36)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

-0.92)

31.6% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

-1.08)

68.01% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Cagliari 45.43%

Monza 29%

Draw 25.56%

Cagliari	Draw	Monza
1-0 @ 10.54% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.27% Total : 45.43%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 7% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.56%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 29%