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Serie A | Gameweek 13
Nov 26, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Sardegna Arena
Monza

Cagliari
1 - 1
Monza

Dossena (10')
Prati (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maric (61')
Birindelli (48'), Pepin (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 2-1 Cagliari
Saturday, November 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Monza 1-1 Torino
Saturday, November 11 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Monza

Monza rarely score more than once, but that should be good enough for a point in Cagliari, as only three Serie A sides have conceded fewer goals than the Biancorossi this season. Meanwhile, the hosts can keep momentum building by extending their unbeaten streak in Sardinia, which may even edge them out of the drop zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Monza had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
CagliariDrawMonza
45.43% (-0.362 -0.36) 25.56% (0.41 0.41) 29% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.26% (-1.335 -1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.65% (-1.731 -1.73)50.35% (1.735 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.71% (-1.554 -1.55)72.29% (1.558 1.56)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (-0.886 -0.89)22.14% (0.89 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.48% (-1.356 -1.36)55.52% (1.36 1.36)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.92400000000001 -0.92)31.6% (0.928 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-1.078 -1.08)68.01% (1.082 1.08)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.43%
    Monza 29%
    Draw 25.56%
CagliariDrawMonza
1-0 @ 10.54% (0.45 0.45)
2-1 @ 9.16% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.165 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.166 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.111 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.51% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 45.43%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.22 0.22)
0-0 @ 7% (0.478 0.48)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.182 -0.18)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.091 -0.09)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.356 0.36)
1-2 @ 7% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.64% (0.091 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.124 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 29%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Monza

Cagliari
Draw
Monza
Cagliari
33.9%
Draw
33.9%
Monza
32.2%
59
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli35238455253077
2Inter Milan35228573334074
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus351615452322063
5Roma35189850321863
6Lazio35189858451363
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina351781053351859
10Como35129144548-345
11Torino351014113940-144
12Udinese35128153849-1144
13Genoa35912143043-1339
14CagliariCagliari3589183651-1533
15Parma35614154054-1432
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3595213063-3332
17Lecce3569202457-3327
18VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
19Empoli35413182755-2825
20Monza3529242563-3815


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