Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Cagliari |
43.36% ( -0.05) | 25.13% ( -0.01) | 31.5% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% ( 0.04) | 47.39% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.39% ( 0.03) | 69.61% ( -0.04) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( -0.01) | 21.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( -0.02) | 55.06% ( 0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% ( 0.05) | 28.37% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% ( 0.07) | 64.11% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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