Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 43.36%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monza in this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Cagliari |
43.36% ( -0.05) | 25.13% ( -0.01) | 31.5% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.98% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.6% ( 0.04) | 47.39% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.39% ( 0.03) | 69.61% ( -0.04) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( -0.01) | 21.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( -0.02) | 55.06% ( 0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.63% ( 0.05) | 28.37% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.89% ( 0.07) | 64.11% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 7.81% 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
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