Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 10.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Monza |
70.8% (![]() | 18.63% (![]() | 10.56% (![]() |
Both teams to score 42.8% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.44% (![]() | 47.55% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.24% (![]() | 69.76% (![]() |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.83% (![]() | 12.17% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.2% (![]() | 37.8% (![]() |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.74% (![]() | 51.26% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.48% (![]() | 85.51% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Monza |
2-0 @ 13.83% (![]() 1-0 @ 13.13% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.72% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.12% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.14% ( ![]() Other @ 2.93% Total : 70.79% | 1-1 @ 8.78% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.24% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.09% ( ![]() Other @ 0.53% Total : 18.63% | 0-1 @ 4.17% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 49 | 35 | 14 | 50 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 39 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |