We said: Roma 2-0 Monza
On a high from recent feats in Europe and Serie A, only complacency could stop Roma making it 10 league games without losing. The hosts should surely avoid that fate against lowly Monza, who are short of confidence at both ends of the pitch. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 10.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Monza |
70.8% ( 3.03) | 18.63% ( -0.9) | 10.56% ( -2.13) |
| Both teams to score 42.8% ( -3.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( -1.5) | 47.55% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( -1.4) | 69.76% ( 1.41) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.83% ( 0.42) | 12.17% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.2% ( 0.87) | 37.8% ( -0.86) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.74% ( -4.72) | 51.26% ( 4.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.48% ( -3.38) | 85.51% ( 3.38) |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 70.79%
Monza 10.56%
Draw 18.63%
| Roma | Draw | Monza |
| 2-0 @ 13.83% ( 1.25) 1-0 @ 13.13% ( 1)3-0 @ 9.72% ( 1.02)2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.38)3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.61)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.37)5-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.29)5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.18)Other @ 2.93% Total : 70.79% | 1-1 @ 8.78% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.59)Other @ 0.53% Total : 18.63% | 0-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.31) 1-2 @ 2.93% ( -0.62)0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.32)Other @ 2.07% Total : 10.56% |
How you voted: Roma vs Monza
Roma
88.7%Draw
6.0%Monza
5.3%133
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 7
Monza
1-1
Roma
Mar 2, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 27
Monza
1-4
Roma
Pellegrini (38'), Lukaku (42'), Dybala (63'), Paredes (82' pen.)
Kristensen (25'), Angelino (48'), Svilar (58'), Cristante (84')
Kristensen (25'), Angelino (48'), Svilar (58'), Cristante (84')
Oct 22, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Roma
1-0
Monza
D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')
May 3, 2023 8pm
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
