MX23RW : Monday, March 10 13:20:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Feb 24, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Monza

Roma
4 - 0
Monza

Saelemaekers (10'), Shomurodov (32'), Angelino (73'), Cristante (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bianco (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 3-2 Porto
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Monza 0-0 Lecce
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-0 Monza

On a high from recent feats in Europe and Serie A, only complacency could stop Roma making it 10 league games without losing. The hosts should surely avoid that fate against lowly Monza, who are short of confidence at both ends of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 70.8%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 10.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.13%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawMonza
70.8% (3.03 3.03) 18.63% (-0.9 -0.9) 10.56% (-2.125 -2.13)
Both teams to score 42.8% (-3.924 -3.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44% (-1.501 -1.5)47.55% (1.507 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.24% (-1.404 -1.4)69.76% (1.409 1.41)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.83% (0.41800000000001 0.42)12.17% (-0.412 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.2% (0.866 0.87)37.8% (-0.86 -0.86)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.74% (-4.718 -4.72)51.26% (4.725 4.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.48% (-3.376 -3.38)85.51% (3.382 3.38)
Score Analysis
    Roma 70.79%
    Monza 10.56%
    Draw 18.63%
RomaDrawMonza
2-0 @ 13.83% (1.25 1.25)
1-0 @ 13.13% (1 1)
3-0 @ 9.72% (1.022 1.02)
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.376 -0.38)
3-1 @ 6.49% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-0 @ 5.12% (0.611 0.61)
4-1 @ 3.42% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.17% (-0.374 -0.37)
5-0 @ 2.16% (0.287 0.29)
5-1 @ 1.44% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.176 -0.18)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 70.79%
1-1 @ 8.78% (-0.504 -0.5)
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.383 0.38)
2-2 @ 3.09% (-0.591 -0.59)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 18.63%
0-1 @ 4.17% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 2.93% (-0.617 -0.62)
0-2 @ 1.39% (-0.32 -0.32)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 10.56%

How you voted: Roma vs Monza

Roma
88.7%
Draw
6.0%
Monza
5.3%
133
Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 7
Monza
1-1
Roma
Mota (70')
Kiriakopoulos (60'), Djuric (90+2'), D'Ambrosio (90+3')
Dovbyk (61')
Soule (26')
Mar 2, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 27
Monza
1-4
Roma
Carboni (87')
Bondo (62')
Pellegrini (38'), Lukaku (42'), Dybala (63'), Paredes (82' pen.)
Kristensen (25'), Angelino (48'), Svilar (58'), Cristante (84')
Oct 22, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 9
Roma
1-0
Monza
El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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