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Serie A | Gameweek 14
Nov 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Monza

Como
1 - 1
Monza

Engelhardt (36')
Paz (44'), Sala (83'), Iovine (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Caprari (54' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Como and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 0-2 Fiorentina
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-1 Monza
Sunday, November 24 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Como 1-0 Monza

The stakes are already high in this battle at the bottom of Serie A, and it should be a tight, tense encounter. Neither side has scored freely this term, so one goal may decide the points' destiny - and hosts Como could claim them. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
ComoDrawMonza
45.09% (0.753 0.75) 26.66% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 28.26% (-0.792 -0.79)
Both teams to score 49.45% (-0.59399999999999 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.93% (-0.54 -0.54)55.07% (0.543 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.67% (-0.447 -0.45)76.33% (0.45099999999999 0.45)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.67% (0.131 0.13)24.34% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.185 0.19)58.73% (-0.18 -0.18)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.35% (-0.89700000000001 -0.9)34.65% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.63% (-0.963 -0.96)71.38% (0.967 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Como 45.08%
    Monza 28.26%
    Draw 26.66%
ComoDrawMonza
1-0 @ 11.91% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 8.42% (0.237 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.2% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.97% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.4% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 45.08%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.176 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.099 -0.1)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 26.66%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.69% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 4.74% (-0.134 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.67% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.26%

How you voted: Como vs Monza

Como
66.7%
Draw
26.2%
Monza
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Como
2-0
Monza
Cerri (55'), La Gumina (80')
Cagnano (31'), Gabrielloni (88')

Mota (23'), Ciurria (86')
Nov 21, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Monza
3-2
Como
Mota (16', 29'), Pepin (88')
Pereira (26'), Valoti (49'), Colpani (84'), Pepin (88')
Bellemo (60'), Vignali (65')
Bellemo (42'), Arrigoni (47'), Cerri (58')
Cerri (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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