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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 1
Como

Vogliacco (90+2')
Caricol (32'), Vogliacco (61'), Balotelli (79'), Vasquez (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Da Cunha (17')
Goldaniga (61'), Moreno (73'), Kempf (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Parma 0-1 Genoa
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Como
Monday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-0 Como

It may not be pretty, but Genoa can scrap their way to six points from six against two promoted sides this week, thereby prolonging Como's misery. The Grifone showed some spirit to win in Parma, while their visitors remain a work in progress, so the long-suffering faithful at Stadio Luigi Ferraris should finally be rewarded. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
GenoaDrawComo
31.38% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06) 27.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 41.24% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 48.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)56.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.42% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)77.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)33.12% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)69.72% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.039999999999992 0.04)27.01% (-0.032999999999998 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.64% (0.050999999999995 0.05)62.36% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 31.38%
    Como 41.24%
    Draw 27.38%
GenoaDrawComo
1-0 @ 9.88% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.15% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.63% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.72% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.38%
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.38%
0-1 @ 11.71% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.67% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.7% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 41.24%

How you voted: Genoa vs Como

Genoa
67.6%
Draw
21.1%
Como
11.3%
71
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 32
Como
2-2
Genoa
Cutrone (62'), Mancuso (88')
Strootman (23'), Coda (57')
Nov 13, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 13
Genoa
1-1
Como
Coda (17' pen.)
Cerri (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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