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Serie A
Venezia
Serie A | Gameweek 15
Dec 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Pierluigi Penzo

Venezia
2 - 2
Como

Pohjanpalo (16'), Oristanio (69')
Nicolussi (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Candela (49' og.), Belotti (56')
Fabregas i Soler (51'), Sala (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Venezia and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Venezia

All competitions
Last Game: Bologna 3-0 Venezia
Saturday, November 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Como 1-1 Monza
Saturday, November 30 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Venezia 1-1 Como

 Only Lecce have a lower shot-conversion rate than Venezia (7%) and Como (6.9%) in Serie A this season, so goals may be at a premium. Neither side can keep the back door shut, though, so a low-scoring draw may be the final outcome in this relegation scrap. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 37.68%. A win for Como had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Como win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
VeneziaDrawComo
37.68% (0.495 0.49) 26.71% (0.092000000000002 0.09) 35.61% (-0.58600000000001 -0.59)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.33000000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.77% (-0.404 -0.4)53.22% (0.403 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.21% (-0.343 -0.34)74.78% (0.345 0.34)
Venezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6% (0.094000000000008 0.09)27.4% (-0.093999999999998 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.12% (0.121 0.12)62.87% (-0.121 -0.12)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.37% (-0.54899999999999 -0.55)28.63% (0.548 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.56% (-0.69 -0.69)64.43% (0.691 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Venezia 37.67%
    Como 35.61%
    Draw 26.71%
VeneziaDrawComo
1-0 @ 10.15% (0.182 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.22% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.138 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.03 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.84% (0.067 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.67%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.124 0.12)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.71%
0-1 @ 9.81% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.56% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 35.61%

How you voted: Venezia vs Como

Venezia
43.3%
Draw
32.8%
Como
23.9%
67
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Como
2-1
Venezia
Verdi (38'), Cutrone (90')
Verdi (49')
Pohjanpalo (40')
Candela (75'), Sverko (88')
Aug 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Venezia
3-0
Como
Pierini (19', 32'), Pohjanpalo (54')
Apr 1, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 31
Venezia
3-2
Como
Candela (45'), Milanese (48'), Pohjanpalo (50')
Da Cunha (8'), Gabrielloni (90')
Nov 6, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Como
1-0
Venezia
Bellemo (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan18134146153143
3Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna187832723429
8AC Milan187742718928
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza1917111727-1010
> Serie A Full Table


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