Europa League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 16, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Salzburg1 - 0Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Roma
Saturday, February 11 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, February 11 at 5pm in Serie A
We said: Red Bull Salzburg 1-1 Roma
Both runners-up in the Europa League's predecessor - the UEFA Cup - during the 1990s, these clubs boast significant European pedigree and are seemingly well-matched. Yet, Roma's recent form has shown they can grind out results where in the past they would have folded, so the visitors can return to Italy on level terms ahead of the second leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Red Bull Salzburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Red Bull Salzburg | Draw | Roma |
45.79% ( 0.21) | 24.28% ( -0.04) | 29.93% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
