Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Roma |
20.73% (![]() | 22.46% (![]() | 56.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.56% (![]() | 44.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.19% (![]() | 66.81% (![]() |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.57% (![]() | 35.43% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.81% (![]() | 72.19% (![]() |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.57% (![]() | 15.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.74% (![]() | 44.25% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 5.67% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.02% ( ![]() Other @ 1.92% Total : 20.73% | 1-1 @ 10.59% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.45% | 0-1 @ 10.21% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 9.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.5% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 56.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |