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Serie A
Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Roma logo

Spezia
0 - 2
Roma


Bourabia (36'), Caldara (40'), Reca (58')
FT(HT: 0-1)
El Shaarawy (45'), Abraham (49')
Celik (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-2 Spezia
Thursday, January 19 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Spezia 1-2 Roma

 Having lost just once on home soil this season, Spezia are draw specialists at the Picco. They surely cannot repeat the trick on Sunday, though, against opponents with momentum on their side - Dybala and Abraham are striking up an understanding which will be too hot for the hosts to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawRoma
20.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 22.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 56.82% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.56% (0.075000000000003 0.08)44.44% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.19% (0.072000000000003 0.07)66.81% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (0.046999999999997 0.05)35.43% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)72.19% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)15.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.74% (0.057000000000002 0.06)44.25% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 20.73%
    Roma 56.81%
    Draw 22.45%
SpeziaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.78% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 56.81%

How you voted: Spezia vs Roma

Spezia
8.1%
Draw
15.1%
Roma
76.7%
86
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 5.05pm
Spezia
0-1
Roma

Agudelo (30'), Amian (39'), Kiwior (86'), Maggiore (90+7')
Amian (45')
Abraham (90+9' pen.)
Mancini (45+3'), Kumbulla (64'), Zaniolo (90+5')
Dec 13, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
2-0
Spezia
Smalling (6'), Ibanez (56')
Vina (54'), Kumbulla (65'), Afena-Gyan (70')
Afena-Gyan (90+3')

Gyasi (90+2')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Roma
Verde (6'), Pobega (38')
El Shaarawy (52'), Mkhitaryan (85')
Kumbulla (90+4')
Jan 23, 2021 2pm
Roma
4-3
Spezia
Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Piccoli (24'), Farias (59'), Verde (90')
Chabot (21')
Jan 19, 2021 8.15pm
Rounds of 16
Roma
2-4
Spezia
Pellegrini (43' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73')
Mancini (51'), Pellegrini (111')
Mancini (92'), Lopez (92')
Galabinov (6' pen.), Saponara (15', 119'), Verde (107')
Agudelo (13'), Ismajli (24'), Dell'Orco (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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