Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
50.01% | 23.8% | 26.18% |
Both teams to score 56.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.33% | 44.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.97% | 67.03% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% | 17.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.24% | 48.76% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% | 30.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.97% | 67.03% |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 5.5% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.01% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-1 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 38 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Lazio | 17 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 24 | 8 | 34 |
5 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 28 |
8 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Roma | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 19 |
11 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
12 | Torino | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 19 |
13 | Genoa | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 14 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 13 |
20 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |