Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 50.01%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 26.18% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Empoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
50.01% | 23.8% | 26.18% |
Both teams to score 56.81% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.33% | 44.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.97% | 67.03% |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.06% | 17.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.24% | 48.76% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.23% | 30.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.97% | 67.03% |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Bologna |
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 9.48% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 5.5% 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.36% 4-0 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.01% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-1 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 3.83% 1-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.94% Total : 26.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 12 |
2 | AC Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 11 |
3 | Torino | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Inter Milan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
5 | Udinese | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 10 |
6 | Napoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
7 | Empoli | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 10 |
8 | Lazio | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
9 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 9 |
10 | Como | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
11 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
12 | Bologna | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
16 | Lecce | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 5 |
18 | VeneziaVenezia | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
19 | Monza | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 3 |
20 | CagliariCagliari | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8 | -7 | 2 |
> Serie A Full Table |