Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 33.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
33.63% (![]() | 26.25% (![]() | 40.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 53% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.42% (![]() | 51.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.63% (![]() | 73.37% (![]() |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% (![]() | 29.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% (![]() | 64.97% (![]() |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% (![]() | 25.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.94% (![]() | 60.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | AC Milan |
1-0 @ 9.08% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.72% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.61% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.63% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 10.1% 1-2 @ 8.58% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.94% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.43% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 61 |
2 | Napoli | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 45 | 23 | 22 | 60 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 58 |
4 | Juventus | 28 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 52 |
5 | Lazio | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50 | 36 | 14 | 51 |
6 | Bologna | 28 | 13 | 11 | 4 | 44 | 34 | 10 | 50 |
7 | Roma | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 45 |
9 | AC Milan | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 44 |
10 | Udinese | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Torino | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 35 |
12 | Genoa | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 32 |
13 | Como | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 44 | -10 | 29 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 26 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 28 | 58 | -30 | 26 |
16 | Lecce | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 46 | -26 | 25 |
17 | Parma | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
18 | Empoli | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 45 | -22 | 22 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 19 |
20 | Monza | 28 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
> Serie A Full Table |