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Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 23, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Inter logo

Empoli
0 - 3
Inter Milan


Parisi (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Lukaku (48', 76'), Martinez (88')
Barella (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cremonese 1-0 Empoli
Friday, April 14 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 3-3 Benfica
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Empoli 0-1 Inter Milan

With an eye on Wednesday's Coppa Italia tie and wearied by their Champions League exertions, Inter could be considered vulnerable to yet another league loss. However, they have recently ruled supreme at the Castellani and Empoli's lack of a goal threat will play straight into their hands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 66.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.2%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
14.09% (0.055 0.05) 19.81% (0.035 0.04) 66.1% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)
Both teams to score 49.75% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.91% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)44.09% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.53% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)66.47% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.84% (0.057000000000002 0.06)43.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.57% (0.046000000000003 0.05)79.43% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)12.47% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.57% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)38.43% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 14.09%
    Inter Milan 66.09%
    Draw 19.81%
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 4.52% (0.014 0.01)
2-1 @ 3.96% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 1.9% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.15% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.11% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 14.09%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.38% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 19.81%
0-2 @ 11.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 11.2%
1-2 @ 9.8% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-3 @ 8.09% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.8% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-4 @ 4.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 3.54% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-5 @ 1.75% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.49% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.47% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 66.09%

How you voted: Empoli vs Inter Milan

Empoli
9.8%
Draw
15.7%
Inter Milan
74.5%
51
Head to Head
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm
gameweek 19
Inter Milan
0-1
Empoli

Skriniar (25'), Barella (68'), Dzeko (89')
Skriniar (40')
Baldanzi (66')
Henderson (30'), Akpa-Akpro (31'), Parisi (45+1')
May 6, 2022 5.45pm
gameweek 36
Inter Milan
4-2
Empoli
Romagnoli (40' og.), Martinez (45', 64'), Sanchez (90+4')
Martinez (64')
Pinamonti (5'), Asllani (28')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Final
Inter Milan
3-2
Empoli
Sanchez (13'), Ranocchia (90+1'), Sensi (104')
Vecino (54')
Bajrami (61'), Radu (76' og.)
Romagnoli (77')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 10
Empoli
0-2
Inter Milan

Luperto (29')
Ricci (52')
D'Ambrosio (34'), Dimarco (66')
de Vrij (24'), Brozovic (59'), Gagliardini (75')
May 26, 2019 7.30pm
Inter Milan
2-1
Empoli
Balde (51'), Nainggolan (81')
Balde (52'), Perisic (72'), D'Ambrosio (90')
Balde (90')
Junior Traore (76')
Pajac (64'), Caputo (90')
Perucchini (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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