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Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 19, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Benfica

Inter Milan
3 - 3
Benfica

Barella (14'), Martinez (65'), Correa (78')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Aursnes (38'), Silva (86'), Musa (90+5')
Silva (49'), Musa (81'), Neres (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Inter Milan beat Benfica 5-3 on aggregate to set up a Champions League semi-final against rivals AC Milan.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Benfica.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Benfica could line up for Wednesday's Champions League quarter-final second leg with Inter Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chaves 1-0 Benfica
Saturday, April 15 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 1-0 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawBenfica
34.15% (0.279 0.28) 26.62% (0.127 0.13) 39.23% (-0.411 -0.41)
Both teams to score 51.93% (-0.363 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47% (-0.488 -0.49)53% (0.482 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.41% (-0.417 -0.42)74.59% (0.41199999999999 0.41)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.57% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)29.42% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.58% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)65.42% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (-0.45 -0.45)26.42% (0.446 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.41% (-0.603 -0.6)61.59% (0.599 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 34.15%
    Benfica 39.22%
    Draw 26.61%
Inter MilanDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.164 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.74% (0.024 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.82% (0.092 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 2.37% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 34.15%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.146 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 10.34% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.42% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.74% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-3 @ 3.06% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.24% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.02% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.22%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Benfica

Inter Milan
57.7%
Draw
21.3%
Benfica
21.0%
300
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Benfica
0-2
Inter Milan

Silva (22')
Barella (51'), Lukaku (82' pen.)
Brozovic (50'), Dzeko (83')
rhs 2.0
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