We said: Empoli 0-3 Lazio
While the home side are desperately short of confidence, their visitors will be fully focused on taking maximum points from what is a must-win game if they are to sneak back into Serie A's top four. Even if the game remains tight in its latter stages, Lazio have scored more goals in the final 15 minutes (20) than anyone else - meanwhile, ailing Empoli have conceded the most (16) during that same period. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 56.13%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 18.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.5%) and 1-2 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.
| Result | ||
| Empoli | Draw | Lazio |
18.89% ( 0.39) | 24.99% ( 0.18) | 56.13% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 44.27% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.26% ( -0.17) | 56.74% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.31% ( -0.14) | 77.69% ( 0.14) |
| Empoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.47% ( 0.35) | 44.53% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.45% ( 0.28) | 80.55% ( -0.28) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.8% ( -0.29) | 20.2% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.5% ( -0.47) | 52.5% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Empoli | Draw | Lazio |
| 1-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.67% Total : 18.89% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.59% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 14.38% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 11.5% ( -0.13)1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.38% Total : 56.12% |
