Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Genoa |
47.2% ( 0.2) | 25.77% ( 0.05) | 27.03% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.68% ( -0.38) | 52.31% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.98% ( -0.33) | 74.01% ( 0.32) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( -0.07) | 22.16% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.44% ( -0.1) | 55.55% ( 0.09) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% ( -0.41) | 34.15% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% ( -0.44) | 70.84% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 47.19% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
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