Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 47.2%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Genoa |
47.2% ( 0.2) | 25.77% ( 0.05) | 27.03% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.36) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.68% ( -0.38) | 52.31% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.98% ( -0.33) | 74.01% ( 0.32) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.83% ( -0.07) | 22.16% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.44% ( -0.1) | 55.55% ( 0.09) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% ( -0.41) | 34.15% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.15% ( -0.44) | 70.84% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 11.4% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 47.19% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |