Genoa0 - 1AC Milan
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, October 1 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
Milan may have just two goals to show from their last seven Champions League fixtures, but their front line have proven capable of finding the net regularly in Serie A. Continuing a fine record at Marassi, the second-city side can leave Liguria with all three points on Saturday evening. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 39.44%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
34.7% ( -0.61) | 25.86% ( 0.03) | 39.44% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 54.53% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.29% ( -0.2) | 49.71% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.27% ( -0.18) | 71.72% ( 0.19) |
| Genoa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.51% ( -0.47) | 27.49% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.01% ( -0.61) | 62.98% ( 0.61) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( 0.22) | 24.8% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.62% ( 0.31) | 59.38% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Genoa | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.7% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.67% Total : 39.44% |
