Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Genoa |
45.03% ( -0.01) | 25.98% ( -0.01) | 28.99% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.93% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( 0.06) | 52.07% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( 0.05) | 73.8% ( -0.05) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( 0.02) | 23.06% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.12% ( 0.03) | 56.88% ( -0.02) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.49% ( 0.05) | 32.51% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.96% ( 0.06) | 69.04% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.02% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |