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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Genoa logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
Genoa

Viola (48'), Zappa (69')
Goldaniga (71'), Scuffet (90+7'), Petagna (90+1'), Viola (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Cagliari
Wednesday, November 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Reggiana
Wednesday, November 1 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Cagliari 2-2 Genoa

Cagliari seemingly cannot defend, while Genoa rarely score away from home; yet Sunday's game could see either side throw everything at gaining another three points. Emboldened by back-to-back wins, both teams are set to find the net in an open score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawGenoa
45.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 25.98% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (0.058 0.06)52.07% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.050000000000001 0.05)73.8% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.015999999999991 0.02)23.06% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (0.026000000000003 0.03)56.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.49% (0.051000000000002 0.05)32.51% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.96% (0.056999999999999 0.06)69.04% (-0.056999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.02%
    Genoa 28.99%
    Draw 25.97%
CagliariDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 45.02%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Genoa

Cagliari
33.3%
Draw
45.8%
Genoa
20.8%
48
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
1-0
Cagliari
Badelj (89')
Destro (49'), Sturaro (61'), Frendrup (84')

Pedro (41'), Grassi (71')
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Cagliari
2-3
Genoa
Pedro (16' pen.), Ceppitelli (56')
Ceppitelli (35'), Pedro (62')
Destro (59'), Fares (69', 78')
Biraschi (11'), Sabelli (15'), Kallon (58')
May 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cagliari
0-1
Genoa

Carboni (77')
Shomurodov (15')
Behrami (51'), Melegoni (64'), Strootman (90+4')
Behrami (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli118121881025
2Inter Milan1173125131224
3Atalanta BCAtalanta1171329141522
4Fiorentina116412291322
5Lazio1171324141022
6Juventus115601971221
7AC Milan105231711617
8Udinese115151416-216
9Bologna103611211115
10Torino114251516-114
11Empoli1135389-114
12Roma113441214-213
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona114071624-812
14CagliariCagliari11236919-109
15Genoa11236821-139
16Como112361222-109
17Parma111641417-39
18Monza111551014-48
19VeneziaVenezia112271019-98
20Lecce11227420-168


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