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Serie A header desktop

Serie A
Cagliari logo
Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 5, 2023 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Genoa logo

Cagliari
2 - 1
Genoa

Viola (48'), Zappa (69')
Goldaniga (71'), Scuffet (90+7'), Petagna (90+1'), Viola (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gudmundsson (51')
Malinovskyi (28'), Gudmundsson (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Genoa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-2 Cagliari
Wednesday, November 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Genoa

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Genoa 2-1 Reggiana
Wednesday, November 1 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Cagliari 2-2 Genoa

 Cagliari seemingly cannot defend, while Genoa rarely score away from home; yet Sunday's game could see either side throw everything at gaining another three points. Emboldened by back-to-back wins, both teams are set to find the net in an open score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawGenoa
45.03% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 25.98% (-0.012 -0.01) 28.99% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (0.058 0.06)52.07% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.050000000000001 0.05)73.8% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.94% (0.015999999999991 0.02)23.06% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.12% (0.026000000000003 0.03)56.88% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.49% (0.051000000000002 0.05)32.51% (-0.050999999999995 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.96% (0.056999999999999 0.06)69.04% (-0.056999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 45.02%
    Genoa 28.99%
    Draw 25.97%
CagliariDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 10.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 45.02%
1-1 @ 12.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.97%
0-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.6% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 28.99%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Genoa

Cagliari
33.3%
Draw
45.8%
Genoa
20.8%
48
Head to Head
Mar 1, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
Cagliari
0-0
Genoa
Oct 7, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Genoa
0-0
Cagliari
Apr 24, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 34
Genoa
1-0
Cagliari
Badelj (89')
Destro (49'), Sturaro (61'), Frendrup (84')

Pedro (41'), Grassi (71')
> Preview
Sep 12, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 3
Cagliari
2-3
Genoa
Pedro (16' pen.), Ceppitelli (56')
Ceppitelli (35'), Pedro (62')
Destro (59'), Fares (69', 78')
Biraschi (11'), Sabelli (15'), Kallon (58')
> Preview
May 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cagliari
0-1
Genoa

Carboni (77')
Shomurodov (15')
Behrami (51'), Melegoni (64'), Strootman (90+4')
Behrami (83')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli128221991026
2Atalanta BCAtalanta1281331151625
3Fiorentina1274125101525
4Inter Milan1274126141225
5Lazio1281325141125
6Juventus126602171424
7AC Milan115332014618
8Bologna114611513218
9Udinese125161518-316
10Empoli12363910-115
11Torino124261518-314
12Roma123451417-313
13Parma122641618-212
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona124081727-1012
15Como122461323-1010
16CagliariCagliari122461222-1010
17Genoa12246922-1310
18Lecce12237521-169
19Monza121561015-58
20VeneziaVenezia122281121-108
> Serie A Full Table


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