Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 45.03%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Genoa |
45.03% ( -0.01) | 25.98% ( -0.01) | 28.99% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 51.93% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.93% ( 0.06) | 52.07% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.2% ( 0.05) | 73.8% ( -0.05) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( 0.02) | 23.06% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.12% ( 0.03) | 56.88% ( -0.02) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.49% ( 0.05) | 32.51% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.96% ( 0.06) | 69.04% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 45.02% | 1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.97% | 0-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 28.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Lazio | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 14 | 10 | 22 |
6 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 19 | -10 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |