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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Inter logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Billing (87')
Contini (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dimarco (22')
Contini (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 2-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 23 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, February 25 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan

Not only do Napoli seem to be running out of steam, having arguably overachieved so far this season, but they also have grim recent record against Inter. The Nerazzurri are far from their fluent best either, but they have scored 17 more goals than their hosts to this point, averaging over two per game away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Inter Milan has a probability of 35.45% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Inter Milan win is 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result
NapoliDrawInter Milan
38.18% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 26.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 35.45% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.94% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (0.169 0.17)51.79% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.45% (0.147 0.15)73.55% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (0.029000000000011 0.03)26.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.036000000000001 0.04)61.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (0.163 0.16)28.03% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (0.205 0.2)63.68% (-0.202 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 38.18%
    Inter Milan 35.45%
    Draw 26.37%
NapoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 6% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.45%

How you voted: Napoli vs Inter Milan

Napoli
Draw
Inter Milan
Napoli
23.7%
Draw
29.5%
Inter Milan
46.8%
139
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Inter Milan
1-1
Napoli
Calhanoglu (43')
Inzaghi (55'), Dumfries (80')
McTominay (23')
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Inter Milan
1-1
Napoli
Darmian (43')
Pavard (36'), Barella (54')
Jesus (81')
Calzona (37'), Lobotka (52'), Calzona (87')
Jan 22, 2024 7pm
Final
Napoli
0-1
Inter Milan

Rrahmani (42'), Mazzarri (43'), Zerbin (46'), Simeone (55'), Gaetano (90')
Simeone (60')
Martinez (90+1')
Calhanoglu (44'), de Vrij (47'), Barella (55'), Martinez (90+2')
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
0-3
Inter Milan

Elmas (58'), Rrahmani (73')
Calhanoglu (44'), Barella (61'), Thuram (85')
Darmian (78'), Thuram (85')
May 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 36
Napoli
3-1
Inter Milan
Zambo Anguissa (67'), Di Lorenzo (85'), Gaetano (90+4')
Elmas (64')
Lukaku (82')
Gagliardini (19')
Gagliardini (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli36239457273078
2Inter Milan36238575334277
3Atalanta BCAtalanta35208771314068
4Juventus361616453332064
5Lazio361810859461364
6Roma35189850321863
7Bologna361614654411362
8AC Milan361791058401860
9Fiorentina351781053351859
10Como36139144849-148
11Torino361014123942-344
12Udinese36128163951-1244
13Genoa36913143245-1340
14CagliariCagliari3689193754-1733
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3696213164-3333
16Parma36614164156-1532
17Empoli36513182956-2728
18Lecce36610202558-3328
19VeneziaVenezia35414172849-2126
RMonza3639242764-3718


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