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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 1, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Inter logo

Napoli
1 - 1
Inter Milan

Billing (87')
Contini (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dimarco (22')
Contini (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Last Game: Como 2-1 Napoli
Sunday, February 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

Inter Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lazio
Tuesday, February 25 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

We said: Napoli 0-1 Inter Milan

 Not only do Napoli seem to be running out of steam, having arguably overachieved so far this season, but they also have grim recent record against Inter. The Nerazzurri are far from their fluent best either, but they have scored 17 more goals than their hosts to this point, averaging over two per game away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Napoli win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Inter Milan has a probability of 35.45% and a draw has a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Inter Milan win is 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.54%).

Result
NapoliDrawInter Milan
38.18% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09) 26.37% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 35.45% (0.133 0.13)
Both teams to score 52.94% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.21% (0.169 0.17)51.79% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.45% (0.147 0.15)73.55% (-0.14399999999999 -0.14)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.56% (0.029000000000011 0.03)26.44% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.036000000000001 0.04)61.61% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (0.163 0.16)28.03% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (0.205 0.2)63.68% (-0.202 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Napoli 38.18%
    Inter Milan 35.45%
    Draw 26.37%
NapoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 9.86% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.35% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 38.18%
1-1 @ 12.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.37%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 6% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.54% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.08% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 35.45%

How you voted: Napoli vs Inter Milan

Napoli
23.7%
Draw
29.5%
Inter Milan
46.8%
139
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Inter Milan
1-1
Napoli
Calhanoglu (43')
Inzaghi (55'), Dumfries (80')
McTominay (23')
> Preview
Mar 17, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Inter Milan
1-1
Napoli
Darmian (43')
Pavard (36'), Barella (54')
Jesus (81')
Calzona (37'), Lobotka (52'), Calzona (87')
> Preview
Jan 22, 2024 7pm
Final
Napoli
0-1
Inter Milan

Rrahmani (42'), Mazzarri (43'), Zerbin (46'), Simeone (55'), Gaetano (90')
Simeone (60')
Martinez (90+1')
Calhanoglu (44'), de Vrij (47'), Barella (55'), Martinez (90+2')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Napoli
0-3
Inter Milan

Elmas (58'), Rrahmani (73')
Calhanoglu (44'), Barella (61'), Thuram (85')
Darmian (78'), Thuram (85')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 36
Napoli
3-1
Inter Milan
Zambo Anguissa (67'), Di Lorenzo (85'), Gaetano (90+4')
Elmas (64')
Lukaku (82')
Gagliardini (19')
Gagliardini (41')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514
> Serie A Full Table


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