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Serie A
Juventus logo
Serie A | Gameweek 18
Dec 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Stadium
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Juventus
1 - 0
Roma

Rabiot (47')
Locatelli (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Paredes (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

All competitions
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Napoli
Saturday, December 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-0 Roma

 The 1-0 win is written deep in Juve's DNA, and a tactical tussle between Allegri and Mourinho is not likely to develop into a goalfest. A single strike could decide the points' destiny, and the Bianconeri's ability to get the job done against other top-four rivals should prove enough to see off Roma. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawRoma
41.67% (-0.454 -0.45) 28.75% (-0.217 -0.22) 29.57% (0.669 0.67)
Both teams to score 44.31% (0.854 0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.07% (0.916 0.92)61.92% (-0.917 -0.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.31% (0.668 0.67)81.68% (-0.67 -0.67)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.19500000000001 0.2)29.31% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.24 0.24)65.28% (-0.241 -0.24)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (1.038 1.04)37.32% (-1.04 -1.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (1.011 1.01)74.1% (-1.012 -1.01)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 41.67%
    Roma 29.57%
    Draw 28.74%
JuventusDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.42% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 3.32% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 41.67%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.93% (-0.38 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 28.74%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.179 0.18)
0-2 @ 5.31% (0.118 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.14% (0.117 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.087 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.079 0.08)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 29.57%

How you voted: Juventus vs Roma

Juventus
69.4%
Draw
13.7%
Roma
16.9%
124
Head to Head
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Roma
1-0
Juventus
Mancini (53')
> Preview
Aug 27, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Juventus
1-1
Roma
Vlahovic (2')
Locatelli (6'), Kostic (77')
Abraham (69')
Cristante (41'), Celik (90+4')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Roma
3-4
Juventus
Abraham (11'), Mkhitaryan (48'), Pellegrini (53')
Veretout (50'), Ibanez (51'), Cristante (76')
Dybala (18'), Locatelli (70'), Kulusevski (72'), De Sciglio (77')
Cuadrado (45+3'), de Ligt (52'), Locatelli (65')
de Ligt (81')
> Preview
Oct 17, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Juventus
1-0
Roma
Kean (16')
Szczesny (42'), De Sciglio (49'), Danilo (87')

Abraham (45+3'), El Shaarawy (70'), Shomurodov (85'), Mancini (89'), Karsdorp (90+3')
> Preview
Feb 6, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 21
Juventus
2-0
Roma
Ronaldo (13'), Ibanez (69' og.)
Arthur (37'), Ronaldo (62')

Mancini (35'), Kumbulla (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410
> Serie A Full Table


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