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Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma logo

Lazio
0 - 0
Roma


Sarri (33'), Immobile (38'), Alberto (67'), Patric (74')
FT

Mancini (18'), N'Dicka (31'), Lukaku (37'), Azmoun (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Feyenoord
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Slavia Prague 2-0 Roma
Thursday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Lazio 0-1 Roma

Even if this edition of the derby is level late on, all is not over until the final whistle sounds: Roma have scored the most goals (nine) during the final 15 minutes of play in Serie A this season; Lazio have found the net just twice during the same time period. They may not employ Maurizio Sarri's intricate passing patterns, but Jose Mourinho's men never know when they are beaten - and one goal could be enough to seal an overdue success against their capital-city rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 43.52%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 28.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawRoma
43.52% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01) 28.29% (0.067 0.07) 28.18% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.84% (-0.205 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.08% (-0.242 -0.24)60.92% (0.242 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.06% (-0.182 -0.18)80.93% (0.18300000000001 0.18)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.19% (-0.123 -0.12)27.81% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.6% (-0.156 -0.16)63.4% (0.157 0.16)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (-0.178 -0.18)37.88% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (-0.171 -0.17)74.65% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 43.52%
    Roma 28.17%
    Draw 28.28%
LazioDrawRoma
1-0 @ 13.48% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.019 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.38% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.18% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 43.52%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.53% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.28%
0-1 @ 10.22% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 28.17%

How you voted: Lazio vs Roma

Lazio
35.1%
Draw
31.2%
Roma
33.8%
77
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 27
Lazio
1-0
Roma
Zaccagni (65')
Nov 6, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 13
Roma
0-1
Lazio
Anderson (29')
Mar 20, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 30
Roma
3-0
Lazio
Abraham (1', 22'), Pellegrini (40')
Karsdorp (48'), Mancini (53'), Zalewski (73'), Oliveira (78')

Pedro (43'), Patric (44'), Leiva (61')
Sep 26, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 6
Lazio
3-2
Roma
Milinkovic-Savic (10'), Pedro (19'), Anderson (63')
Leiva (25'), Cataldi (87')
Ibanez (41'), Veretout (69' pen.)
Patricio (11'), Cristante (45+2'), Vina (48'), Mourinho (61'), Veretout (87')
May 15, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Roma
2-0
Lazio
Mkhitaryan (42'), Pedro (78')
Peres (16'), Santon (47')

Acerbi (23')
Acerbi (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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