Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 11, 2023 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Juventus2 - 1Cagliari
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Juventus
Sunday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Juventus 2-0 Cagliari
Although they have finally found a way to win, Cagliari have conceded more goals from open play than any other Serie A side this season (18), and they are not the most obvious candidate to end their hosts' superb sequence of clean sheets. Victory would put Juventus top of the table - if only for a day - and that should inspire them to avoid any complacency. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 52.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.36%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Juventus | Draw | Cagliari |
52.92% ( 0.67) | 25.36% ( 0.09) | 21.73% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
