Roma
3 - 1
Lecce

Kumbulla (40'), Abraham (54'), Shomurodov (81')
Afena-Gyan (38'), Ibanez (71'), Abraham (76')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Calabresi (14')
Listkowski (12'), Johann Helgason (44'), Di Mariano (45+1'), Gargiulo (60')
Gargiulo (62')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Coppa Italia clash between Roma and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Whilst Roma's recent record in the competition leaves a lot to be desired, as does their form in all competitions of late, we are backing them to scrape past a Lecce side who will be well up for the game and will certainly make them work hard to progress. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Lecce
43.96%	25.35%	30.69%

Both teams to score 54.88%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.34%

48.66%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.23%

70.77%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.9%

22.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.53%

55.46%

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.45%

29.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.43%

65.56%

Score Analysis

Roma 43.96%

Lecce 30.69%

Draw 25.34%

Roma	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.72% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.96%	1-1 @ 12.01% 0-0 @ 6.53% 2-2 @ 5.53% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.34%	0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 7.33% 0-2 @ 4.85% 1-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.97% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.69%