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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Napoli logo

Juventus
0 - 0
Napoli


McKennie (33')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 3-1 PSV
Tuesday, September 17 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Cagliari 0-4 Napoli
Sunday, September 15 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 1-1 Napoli

It promises to be a tight tactical battle between two intense coaches, as a couple of Calcio heavyweights scrap it out on Saturday. Napoli have attempted the most shots so far in Serie A (72), but well-drilled Juventus have faced the fewest (25) and could grind out another draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawNapoli
40.01% (-0.205 -0.2) 26.2% (0.0030000000000001 0) 33.8% (0.203 0.2)
Both teams to score 53.22% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.69% (0.025999999999996 0.03)51.31% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (0.021999999999998 0.02)73.13% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)25.23% (0.099 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-0.135 -0.13)59.97% (0.136 0.14)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (0.14 0.14)28.82% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.32% (0.173 0.17)64.67% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 40%
    Napoli 33.8%
    Draw 26.19%
JuventusDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 10.01% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.94% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40%
1-1 @ 12.45%
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 9.05% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.75% (0.031 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.63% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.026 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.33% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.21% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.8%

How you voted: Juventus vs Napoli

Juventus
50.3%
Draw
31.1%
Napoli
18.7%
193
Head to Head
Mar 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Napoli
2-1
Juventus
Kvaratskhelia (42'), Raspadori (88')
Traore (47'), Calzona (90+5')
Chiesa (81')
Vlahovic (18'), Bremer (26'), Cambiaso (28'), Nonge (87')
Dec 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Juventus
1-0
Napoli
Gatti (51')
Bremer (58'), Locatelli (90+4')

Kvaratskhelia (45+1'), Jesus (63'), Skiri Oestigaard (85'), Osimhen (90+4')
Apr 23, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
Juventus
0-1
Napoli
Raspadori (90+3')
Jan 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Napoli
5-1
Juventus
Osimhen (14', 65'), Kvaratskhelia (39'), Rrahmani (55'), Elmas (72')
Di Maria (42')
Jan 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Juventus
1-1
Napoli
Chiesa (54')
Sandro (44'), Dybala (90+7')
Mertens (23')
Demme (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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