Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Bologna |
31.93% | 25.85% | 42.22% |
Both teams to score 53.79% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.67% | 50.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.73% | 72.27% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.45% | 29.55% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.43% | 65.57% |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.34% | 23.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.24% | 57.76% |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 8.52% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 5.2% 3-1 @ 3.04% 3-2 @ 2.19% 3-0 @ 2.11% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.93% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.99% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.26% 1-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 3.49% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.53% 0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.96% Total : 42.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
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