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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Napoli logo

Cagliari
0 - 4
Napoli


Mina (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Di Lorenzo (18'), Kvaratskhelia (66'), Lukaku (70'), Buongiorno (90+3')
Lobotka (42'), Lukaku (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-0 Cagliari
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Napoli

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Parma
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 1-1 Napoli

 Even if Napoli are starting to take shape under the demanding management of Antonio Conte, their hosts are set to put up strong resistance and could hold out for a point. Cagliari can be tough customers on home turf, and their forwards will pose a real threat to the Azzurri's new three-man back line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 25.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawNapoli
25.69% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07) 24.99% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 49.31% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Both teams to score 52.52% (-0.215 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89% (-0.251 -0.25)50.11% (0.247 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (-0.224 -0.22)72.07% (0.21899999999999 0.22)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.199 -0.2)34.06% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.25% (-0.213 -0.21)70.74% (0.206 0.21)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)20.34% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27% (-0.142 -0.14)52.73% (0.137 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 25.69%
    Napoli 49.31%
    Draw 24.99%
CagliariDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 7.46% (0.035 0.04)
2-1 @ 6.4% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-0 @ 4.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.3% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.83% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.44% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 25.69%
1-1 @ 11.88% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.069 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.1% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.99%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.79% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.66% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.08% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 49.31%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Napoli

Cagliari
12.0%
Draw
16.0%
Napoli
72.0%
75
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2024 2pm
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Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Luvumbo (90+6')
Lapadula (36'), Luvumbo (48'), Nandez (68'), Deiola (86')
Osimhen (65')
Olivera (90+1')
> Preview
Dec 16, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Napoli
2-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (69'), Kvaratskhelia (75')
Osimhen (45'), Rrahmani (45+4'), Rui (85'), Politano (88'), Zambo Anguissa (90+1')
Pavoletti (72')
Goldaniga (45+2'), Pavoletti (45+2'), Augello (63')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
1-1
Napoli
Pereiro (58')
Pedro (35')
Osimhen (87')
Malcuit (42'), Koulibaly (64')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Napoli
2-0
Cagliari
Osimhen (11'), Insigne (57' pen.)
Osimhen (66'), Elmas (76')

Walukiewicz (59')
> Preview
May 2, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-1
Cagliari
Osimhen (13')
Demme (56')
Nandez (90+4')
Godin (32'), Deiola (34'), Pavoletti (46')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta17131342192340
2Napoli17122326121438
3Inter Milan16114142152737
4Lazio1711153224834
5Fiorentina1694329131631
6Juventus17710028131531
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese177282126-523
10Roma175482323019
11Empoli174761619-319
12Torino175481722-519
13Genoa173771426-1216
14Lecce174491129-1816
15Parma173682333-1015
16Como173681830-1215
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari173591628-1214
19VeneziaVenezia1734101730-1313
20Monza171791523-810
> Serie A Full Table


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