Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.18%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 56.18% | 21.69% | 22.13% |
| Both teams to score 59.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.87% | 39.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.54% | 61.46% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% | 13.83% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.8% | 41.19% |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.89% | 31.11% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.57% | 67.43% |
| Score Analysis |
Roma 56.18%
Fiorentina 22.13%
Draw 21.69%
| Roma | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% 1-0 @ 8.51% 2-0 @ 8.42% 3-1 @ 6.48% 3-0 @ 5.55% 3-2 @ 3.79% 4-1 @ 3.21% 4-0 @ 2.75% 4-2 @ 1.87% 5-1 @ 1.27% 5-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.41% Total : 56.18% | 1-1 @ 9.94% 2-2 @ 5.74% 0-0 @ 4.3% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 5.8% 0-1 @ 5.02% 0-2 @ 2.93% 1-3 @ 2.26% 2-3 @ 2.23% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.74% Total : 22.13% |
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 36
Roma
2-1
Fiorentina
Dec 20, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Fiorentina
1-4
Roma
Jan 30, 2019 5.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Fiorentina
7-1
Roma
Nov 3, 2018 5pm
Gameweek 11
Fiorentina
1-1
Roma
