Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.24% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
