Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
